Noah Cates vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Dubois 46.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 53.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 80.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 65.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Cates
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Cates
Dubois
Last 10: Cates 5-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
5
Cates
Dubois
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
7
Cates
Dubois
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
5
6
Cates
Dubois
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,742)
46.2% (7,002)
-2.1%
Power Play
43.0% (242)
51.3% (606)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
48.1% (108)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Cates shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Cates
Dubois
Home
43.8% (1,663)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
42.1% (1,694)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Cates
Dubois
P1
44.5%
47.6%
P2
43.5%
45.6%
P3
41.2%
46.8%
OT
29.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |