Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Dubois 49.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 61.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 64.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Cates
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cates
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Cates
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
49.3% (842)
-5.0%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
57.1% (35)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
55.6% (9)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Cates
Dubois
Home
52.0% (148)
51.0% (445)
Away
38.5% (182)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Cates
Dubois
P1
42.7%
50.3%
P2
42.9%
49.5%
P3
48.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |