Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Thomas 52.7% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 63.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 62.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Cates
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cates
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Cates
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
53.6% (924)
-13.2%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
55.2% (181)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
44.0% (116)
-11.3%
On even strength, Thomas has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Cates
Thomas
Home
38.2% (566)
53.6% (606)
Away
41.0% (488)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Cates
Thomas
P1
40.5%
48.2%
P2
42.4%
55.3%
P3
35.3%
55.2%
OT
42.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
36.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |