Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Thomas 52.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 56.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 56.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Cates
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cates
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Cates
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
53.2% (1,166)
-8.9%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
56.9% (262)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
48.4% (221)
-16.7%
On power play, Cates has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Cates
Thomas
Home
52.0% (148)
51.6% (830)
Away
38.5% (182)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Cates
Thomas
P1
42.7%
52.7%
P2
42.9%
55.6%
P3
48.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |