Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs McLeod 48.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 63.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Cates
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cates
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Cates
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
49.0% (500)
-8.6%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
43.8% (48)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
44.0% (50)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Cates
McLeod
Home
38.2% (566)
50.9% (291)
Away
41.0% (488)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Cates
McLeod
P1
40.5%
44.3%
P2
42.4%
52.4%
P3
35.3%
47.8%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |