Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs McLeod 50.7% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 56.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 52.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cates
McLeod
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
51.3% (628)
-7.0%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
68.3% (41)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
30.6% (49)
+1.1%
On power play, Cates has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Cates
McLeod
Home
52.0% (148)
51.5% (394)
Away
38.5% (182)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Cates
McLeod
P1
42.7%
51.5%
P2
42.9%
47.0%
P3
48.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%