Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Monahan 54.5% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 69.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Cates
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
57.1% (871)
-12.8%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
53.1% (262)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
44.6% (139)
-12.9%
On power play, Cates has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Cates
Monahan
Home
52.0% (148)
55.3% (644)
Away
38.5% (182)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Cates
Monahan
P1
42.7%
53.9%
P2
42.9%
55.3%
P3
48.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |