Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 62.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Cates
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
55.9% (499)
-11.6%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
56.3% (126)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
58.3% (12)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Cates
Stamkos
Home
52.0% (148)
55.3% (349)
Away
38.5% (182)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Cates
Stamkos
P1
42.7%
57.0%
P2
42.9%
59.2%
P3
48.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
44.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%