Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 77.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 64.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 50.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Cates
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cates
Trocheck
Last 6: Cates 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cates
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Cates
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
55.0% (956)
-14.6%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
59.8% (266)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
56.3% (64)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Cates
Trocheck
Home
38.2% (566)
57.7% (673)
Away
41.0% (488)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Cates
Trocheck
P1
40.5%
55.4%
P2
42.4%
55.6%
P3
35.3%
56.4%
OT
42.9%
83.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |