Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 60.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 77.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Cates
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cates
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Cates
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Cates
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
57.6% (1,061)
-13.3%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
65.1% (338)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
49.5% (101)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Cates
Trocheck
Home
52.0% (148)
61.8% (735)
Away
38.5% (182)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Cates
Trocheck
P1
42.7%
57.7%
P2
42.9%
57.9%
P3
48.5%
60.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |