Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Cates wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 25-12 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 95.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 91.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 91.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Cates
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
25
(37 meetings)
12
25
Cates
Trocheck
Last 10: Cates 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
7
Cates
Trocheck
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
8
Cates
Trocheck
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
6
10
Cates
Trocheck
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,742)
53.7% (10,904)
-9.6%
Power Play
43.0% (242)
60.8% (1,856)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
49.6% (1,461)
-14.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Cates is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,073).
Cates shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Cates
Trocheck
Home
43.8% (1,663)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
42.1% (1,694)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Cates
Trocheck
P1
44.5%
54.1%
P2
43.5%
54.7%
P3
41.2%
54.0%
OT
29.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
41.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |