Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 87.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 89.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 90.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Cates
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
14
(16 meetings)
2
14
Cates
Trocheck
Last 9: Cates 2-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Cates
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Cates
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
6
Cates
Trocheck
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
59.6% (1,032)
-12.9%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
62.1% (253)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
55.4% (249)
-20.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Cates shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Cates
Trocheck
Home
46.1% (521)
61.7% (786)
Away
43.3% (584)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Cates
Trocheck
P1
48.0%
61.7%
P2
42.3%
58.8%
P3
44.3%
57.6%
OT
31.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |