Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Johnston 44.8% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Cates
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
42.5% (318)
-2.1%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
55.6% (9)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
62.5% (8)
-29.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Cates
Johnston
Home
38.2% (566)
40.5% (168)
Away
41.0% (488)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Cates
Johnston
P1
40.5%
46.9%
P2
42.4%
40.4%
P3
35.3%
41.9%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
39.5%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
43.3%