Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 61.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Cates
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cates
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Cates
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
50.7% (552)
-6.4%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
61.5% (13)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
43.5% (69)
-11.8%
On power play, Cates has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Cates
Johnston
Home
52.0% (148)
50.3% (342)
Away
38.5% (182)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Cates
Johnston
P1
42.7%
54.4%
P2
42.9%
47.2%
P3
48.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
44.5%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |