Nathan MacKinnon vs Noel Acciari
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Acciari 51.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 89.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 66.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
MacKinnon
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
MacKinnon
Acciari
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
5
6
MacKinnon
Acciari
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
52.8% (3,276)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
48.2% (85)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
47.1% (1,061)
-4.3%
On even strength, Acciari has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Acciari
Home
49.7% (6,444)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
MacKinnon
Acciari
P1
47.4%
52.2%
P2
46.6%
51.5%
P3
46.1%
50.5%
OT
48.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |