Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Acciari wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 92.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 67.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Acciari
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Acciari
Couturier
Last 5: Acciari 4-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Acciari
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
0
Acciari
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (279)
53.4% (758)
+0.0%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
62.9% (70)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (178)
50.7% (227)
-0.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Acciari is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Acciari shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Acciari
Couturier
Home
53.5% (256)
50.7% (517)
Away
49.3% (217)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Acciari
Couturier
P1
53.1%
55.2%
P2
51.2%
53.0%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 03:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |