Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 92.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 60.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Acciari
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Acciari
Couturier
Last 9: Acciari 4-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Acciari
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
0
Acciari
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Acciari
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
53.8% (1,003)
+1.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.4% (202)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
42.7% (89)
+9.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Acciari
Couturier
Home
55.2% (306)
54.4% (680)
Away
53.7% (268)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Acciari
Couturier
P1
55.5%
56.3%
P2
54.3%
51.8%
P3
54.1%
52.2%
OT
33.3%
60.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |