Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Couturier 53.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 93.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 69.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Acciari
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Acciari
Couturier
Last 5: Acciari 4-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Acciari
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
0
Acciari
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
53.4% (758)
-0.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
62.9% (70)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
50.7% (227)
+0.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Acciari
Couturier
Home
53.2% (267)
50.7% (517)
Away
49.3% (217)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Acciari
Couturier
P1
53.1%
55.2%
P2
51.1%
53.0%
P3
50.6%
53.3%
OT
40.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 03:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |