Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Couturier 52.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 94.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 57.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Acciari
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Acciari
Couturier
Last 10: Acciari 9-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
10
Acciari
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
17
1
Acciari
Couturier
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Acciari
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
52.5% (11,063)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
59.7% (1,280)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
48.5% (1,816)
-1.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Acciari
Couturier
Home
52.0% (2,115)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Acciari
Couturier
P1
52.2%
52.5%
P2
51.5%
52.6%
P3
50.5%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 03:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |