Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Couturier 55.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 97.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 71.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Acciari
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Acciari
Couturier
Last 10: Acciari 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Acciari
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
6
1
Acciari
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
55.1% (1,008)
+1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.1% (142)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
53.3% (45)
-5.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Acciari
Couturier
Home
54.5% (279)
58.1% (609)
Away
53.0% (319)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Acciari
Couturier
P1
56.9%
55.3%
P2
51.4%
55.8%
P3
53.2%
57.4%
OT
60.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |