Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.1%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Aho 53.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 94.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Acciari
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Acciari
Aho
Last 8: Acciari 3-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Acciari
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
51.2% (785)
+4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
63.8% (213)
-63.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
57.9% (57)
-5.8%
On power play, Aho has a +63.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Acciari
Aho
Home
55.2% (306)
54.9% (548)
Away
53.7% (268)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Acciari
Aho
P1
55.5%
52.8%
P2
54.3%
58.9%
P3
54.1%
50.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |