Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Aho 54.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 92.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 56.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Acciari
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Acciari
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Acciari
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
54.5% (870)
+2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
62.4% (266)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
37.1% (62)
+10.9%
On power play, Aho has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Acciari
Aho
Home
54.5% (279)
53.9% (603)
Away
53.0% (319)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Acciari
Aho
P1
56.9%
54.1%
P2
51.4%
55.0%
P3
53.2%
57.4%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |