Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Aho 50.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 88.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 92.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 55.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Acciari
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Acciari
Aho
Last 10: Acciari 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Acciari
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
6
0
Acciari
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
49.9% (851)
+3.1%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.5% (144)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
43.3% (60)
+7.5%
On power play, Aho has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Acciari
Aho
Home
53.2% (267)
53.2% (554)
Away
49.3% (217)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Acciari
Aho
P1
53.1%
49.1%
P2
51.1%
50.8%
P3
50.6%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |