Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 92.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Acciari
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
23
(44 meetings)
21
23
Acciari
Aho
Last 10: Acciari 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
19
Acciari
Aho
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
17
3
Acciari
Aho
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
50.1% (6,619)
+2.7%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
58.9% (1,310)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
46.3% (464)
+0.8%
On power play, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Acciari
Aho
Home
52.0% (2,115)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Acciari
Aho
P1
52.2%
51.1%
P2
51.5%
52.0%
P3
50.5%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |