Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 52.0% vs Lorentz 50.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 71.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 82.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 56.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Acciari
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Acciari
Lorentz
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Acciari
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
1
Acciari
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (375)
51.7% (292)
+1.4%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
40.0% (10)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (111)
42.9% (7)
+7.6%
On power play, Acciari has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
49.4% (243)
52.3% (155)
Away
55.1% (276)
50.0% (154)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
50.9%
59.2%
P2
54.7%
50.9%
P3
51.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
52.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |