Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 56.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Acciari
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
48.3% (497)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
63.6% (11)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
38.5% (39)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
56.2% (281)
50.4% (238)
Away
51.9% (345)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
53.4%
49.1%
P2
57.1%
48.0%
P3
51.4%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%