Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Lorentz 50.0% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 81.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Acciari
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
52.2% (67)
+0.8%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
50.0% (2)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
42.9% (21)
+7.9%
On power play, Lorentz has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
53.2% (267)
55.4% (65)
Away
49.3% (217)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
53.1%
59.3%
P2
51.1%
47.1%
P3
50.6%
44.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%