Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lorentz 83.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 61.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Acciari
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Acciari
Lorentz
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Acciari
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
1
Acciari
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
48.9% (1,118)
+3.9%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
50.0% (26)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
41.9% (86)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
52.0% (2,115)
50.8% (606)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
52.2%
53.0%
P2
51.5%
46.8%
P3
50.5%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |