Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+17.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 91.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 75.1%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Acciari
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
30.8% (26)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
57.1% (7)
-9.1%
On even strength, Acciari has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Acciari
Lorentz
Home
54.5% (279)
35.0% (20)
Away
53.0% (319)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Acciari
Lorentz
P1
56.9%
38.5%
P2
51.4%
37.5%
P3
53.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%