Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paul wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.6% vs Sundqvist 47.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 57.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Paul
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Paul
Sundqvist
Last 6: Paul 3-3 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
Paul
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (59)
44.3% (131)
+6.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Paul has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Paul is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Paul shoots left. Sundqvist is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Paul
Sundqvist
Home
53.5% (43)
40.4% (57)
Away
47.1% (17)
50.0% (82)
By Period
Paul
Sundqvist
P1
47.4%
30.6%
P2
50.0%
46.9%
P3
60.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
23.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |