Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sundqvist wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 43.1% vs Steel 46.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 60.1%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 64.3%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 65.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Sundqvist
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sundqvist
Steel
Last 7: Sundqvist 2-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
4
Sundqvist
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (492)
44.6% (177)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
66.7% (3)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
44.8% (29)
-1.6%
On power play, Steel has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Sundqvist shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Steel
Home
43.3% (275)
46.7% (90)
Away
40.8% (314)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Sundqvist
Steel
P1
43.3%
47.8%
P2
41.8%
47.0%
P3
40.1%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Sam Steel |