Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Steel 52.8% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 57.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 54.4%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 51.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Sundqvist
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sundqvist
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Sundqvist
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
56.9% (320)
-11.9%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
71.4% (7)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
37.0% (73)
+9.0%
On power play, Steel has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Steel
Home
45.5% (255)
55.9% (202)
Away
45.4% (317)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Sundqvist
Steel
P1
40.9%
55.5%
P2
46.9%
55.1%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |