Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 84.6%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 91.2%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 86.7%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Sundqvist
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Sundqvist
Steel
Last 10: Sundqvist 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
7
Sundqvist
Steel
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
4
Sundqvist
Steel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
5
Sundqvist
Steel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
50.6% (2,876)
-6.4%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
62.6% (179)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
37.4% (254)
+4.2%
On power play, Steel has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Steel
Home
44.2% (1,584)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Sundqvist
Steel
P1
42.8%
51.9%
P2
45.6%
49.5%
P3
43.7%
49.6%
OT
60.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |