Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 70.8%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 56.1%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Sundqvist
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sundqvist
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Sundqvist
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
52.5% (200)
-5.7%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
71.4% (7)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
40.0% (45)
+3.5%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Steel
Home
46.0% (189)
49.5% (109)
Away
47.8% (207)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Sundqvist
Steel
P1
44.7%
49.5%
P2
47.6%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
56.6%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sam Steel |