Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 56.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 68.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 68.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 57.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Brown
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (336)
48.9% (352)
+12.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (74)
42.2% (45)
+3.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brown is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brown shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Brown
Carrick
Home
61.1% (180)
46.9% (192)
Away
56.4% (234)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Brown
Carrick
P1
57.5%
48.1%
P2
58.5%
50.0%
P3
59.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%