Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 51.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 54.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 55.6%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Brown
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Brown
Carrick
Last 6: Brown 5-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
4
0
Brown
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Brown
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (284)
49.2% (307)
+3.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
66.7% (6)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
48.2% (56)
+0.8%
On power play, Brown has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Brown shoots right. Carrick is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Brown
Carrick
Home
53.5% (144)
50.3% (175)
Away
51.8% (195)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Brown
Carrick
P1
49.0%
41.0%
P2
48.7%
51.2%
P3
58.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |