Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 48.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Brown 68.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Brown
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (39)
53.8% (654)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
63.9% (36)
-3.9%
On even strength, Carrick has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brown is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Brown shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Brown
Carrick
Home
55.6% (9)
50.0% (328)
Away
42.9% (35)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Brown
Carrick
P1
18.2%
56.7%
P2
58.8%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%