Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Zacha 50.1% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 77.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 71.6%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 73.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Barbashev
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barbashev
Zacha
Last 6: Barbashev 1-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Barbashev
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Barbashev
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Barbashev
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
48.0% (296)
-10.1%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
61.0% (59)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
50.0% (22)
-9.3%
On even strength, Zacha has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Zacha
Home
45.3% (137)
48.9% (223)
Away
36.1% (191)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Barbashev
Zacha
P1
41.8%
47.9%
P2
43.1%
48.3%
P3
31.9%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
37.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |