Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Zacha 52.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 85.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 58.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 59.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Stenlund
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stenlund
Zacha
Last 7: Stenlund 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Stenlund
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
54.1% (534)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
56.0% (109)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
44.8% (96)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Zacha
Home
58.6% (548)
53.4% (406)
Away
59.7% (506)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Stenlund
Zacha
P1
60.2%
56.8%
P2
59.1%
53.6%
P3
58.3%
49.2%
OT
58.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |