Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Greig 50.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Zacha
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Zacha
Greig
Last 8: Zacha 5-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Zacha
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
0
Zacha
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
51.5% (336)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
66.7% (24)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
43.2% (81)
-4.3%
On power play, Greig has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
51.7% (410)
50.2% (247)
Away
52.2% (408)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
57.7%
46.9%
P2
48.9%
58.8%
P3
50.2%
48.3%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |