Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Greig 44.5% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 62.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Zacha
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
38.8% (103)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
60.0% (5)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
0.0% (1)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
39.7% (131)
37.7% (53)
Away
49.7% (165)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
42.9%
41.7%
P2
46.4%
39.3%
P3
42.3%
37.8%
Final 5 min
38.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%