Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.7%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Greig 48.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 66.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Zacha
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Zacha
Greig
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
4
Zacha
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
48.5% (1,133)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
56.8% (74)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
46.5% (172)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
49.7% (3,353)
49.8% (681)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
49.9%
46.3%
P2
49.2%
51.2%
P3
48.1%
48.8%
OT
53.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |