Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Greig 53.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 77.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 68.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Zacha
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zacha
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Zacha
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
53.6% (280)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
61.3% (31)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
56.5% (69)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
53.4% (406)
56.2% (185)
Away
52.9% (333)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
56.8%
52.8%
P2
53.6%
51.6%
P3
49.2%
59.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |