Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Greig 45.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 68.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 57.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Zacha
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Zacha
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
45.2% (414)
+8.7%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
28.6% (14)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
28.6% (21)
+15.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
56.7% (538)
46.4% (196)
Away
52.8% (530)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
52.6%
40.8%
P2
54.8%
46.4%
P3
56.8%
43.9%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |