Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 42.9%). Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.2% vs Thomas 44.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 60.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 70.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Zacha
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zacha
Thomas
Last 7: Zacha 5-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Zacha
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
0
Zacha
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (514)
42.1% (297)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
50.0% (16)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (61)
75.0% (4)
-38.9%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zacha shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thomas
Home
45.0% (289)
40.9% (186)
Away
41.9% (365)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Zacha
Thomas
P1
47.4%
43.3%
P2
43.8%
40.6%
P3
37.7%
45.3%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 04:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |