Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.9%). Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Thomas 49.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 53.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Zacha
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Zacha
Thomas
Last 8: Zacha 4-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Zacha
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
49.0% (910)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
53.5% (142)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
53.3% (75)
-3.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thomas
Home
48.9% (223)
47.3% (514)
Away
51.9% (154)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Zacha
Thomas
P1
47.9%
50.4%
P2
48.3%
47.5%
P3
54.3%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | OT | 00:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |