Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Zacha
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Zacha
Thomas
Last 10: Zacha 2-8 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
9
Zacha
Thomas
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
8
3
Zacha
Thomas
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
6
Zacha
Thomas
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
51.1% (5,350)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
55.8% (921)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
49.9% (691)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thomas
Home
49.7% (3,353)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Zacha
Thomas
P1
49.9%
50.6%
P2
49.2%
52.9%
P3
48.1%
50.8%
OT
53.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 6, 2022 | OT | 00:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |