Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.9%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Thomas 51.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Zacha
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zacha
Thomas
Last 9: Zacha 2-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Zacha
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Zacha
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Zacha
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
50.1% (615)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
62.2% (98)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
52.6% (114)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thomas
Home
51.7% (410)
51.9% (374)
Away
52.2% (408)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Zacha
Thomas
P1
57.7%
49.2%
P2
48.9%
55.3%
P3
50.2%
50.6%
OT
35.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |