Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 73.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 58.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Zacha
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
40.9% (232)
+7.1%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
100.0% (1)
-39.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lafferty
Home
48.9% (223)
38.2% (123)
Away
51.9% (154)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Zacha
Lafferty
P1
47.9%
41.6%
P2
48.3%
36.7%
P3
54.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%