Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Zacha
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Zacha
Lafferty
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
3
Zacha
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
48.0% (1,413)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
45.7% (46)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
43.5% (184)
-1.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lafferty
Home
49.7% (3,353)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Zacha
Lafferty
P1
49.9%
49.4%
P2
49.2%
43.1%
P3
48.1%
49.8%
OT
53.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |